Data Scientist/ Business Intelligence Analyst / UI/UX Designer
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The dual-axis line chart compares the female labor force growth rate (blue line) and the male labor force growth rate (orange line) during periods of economic expansions.
Overall, the chart suggests that while both male and female labor force growth rates fluctuate during expansions, female participation has historically been more volatile. This could be due to various societal and economic factors influencing women’s participation in the workforce over time.
The box plot compares the distribution of growth rates between females and males during economic expansions.
Female Growth Rate: The box plot shows a relatively narrow interquartile range (IQR), indicating that the majority of female growth rates during expansions fall within a smaller range, closer to 0. The presence of several outliers above 0.03 and below -0.02 indicates that there are occasional periods of high and low growth outside the typical range, but most of the data is clustered closer to 0. The median is slightly above 0, indicating a small but positive average growth rate for females during expansions.
Male Growth Rate: The male growth rate distribution also has a relatively narrow IQR but slightly wider than the female distribution. The data is similarly centered around 0, but the median is closer to 0 than for females. There are also several outliers on the positive end (above 0.03), indicating occasional high growth rates during expansions. However, the male growth rate distribution appears slightly more varied than the female growth rate, with a larger spread of values within the quartiles.
Conclusion: Both female and male growth rates during expansions tend to be centered around 0, with females showing a slightly more positive median growth rate. However, both genders experience outliers, indicating that while growth is typically steady, there can be periods of both significant increases and decreases for both male and female labor force participation during expansions.
This bar chart shows that the average female employment growth rate during expansions is significantly higher than the male growth rate. The cyan bar representing females is more than double the height of the magenta bar for males, indicating that female labor force participation tends to accelerate more during expansions.
The t-test results show a T-statistic of approximately 3.06 and a P-value of 0.0023, indicating that there is a statistically significant difference between the growth rates of female and male labor force participation during expansion periods. The low P-value suggests that the null hypothesis (that there is no difference between the two growth rates) can be rejected.
This insight supports the hypothesis that female labor force participation grows faster than male labor force participation during economic expansions.
This project involves a comprehensive economic analysis using data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database. The study focuses on identifying and testing various economic hypotheses related to labor force participation, employment growth, gender differences, and broader economic indicators. By leveraging historical data, the project aims to uncover trends and relationships that can inform future economic predictions.
One of the core hypotheses explored in this study, Hypothesis 6, investigates the differences in labor force participation growth between males and females during periods of economic expansion. The analysis considers how gender-specific employment growth rates behave during expansion phases of the economic cycle, and whether female labor force participation experiences faster growth compared to male participation during these periods.
Project Info
Client : N/A (Personal Project)
Date : August 2024
Category : Economic/Financial
Data Scientist/ Business Intelligence Analyst / UI/UX Designer